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US/Taliban peace negotiations were set up for failure: The US got tripped up by their own tactics

Blog / 10/09/2019

The US-peace negotiations with the Taliban have – not surprisingly – failed. Yesterday (September 9, 2019) president Trump declared these negotiations “Dead”. For various reasons, these negotiations failed. For one […]

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This is how Radicalization works

Blog / 09/09/2019

In this article, I discuss radicalization. The degree of radicalization of a social system and its level/amount of entropy are closely related. As I explain in my research, all natural […]

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Mass Shooting Cycles in American Society (1982-2019) and the Route to Chaos

Blog / 05/09/2019

Concept version: 050919 Ingo Piepers, GLOBAL4CAST, Amsterdam, The Netherlands E-mail: ingo@global4cast.org SUMMARY Preliminary findings based on research presented and discussed in this paper, show that during the period 1982-2019, American […]

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Our thinking about war and strategy must change

Blog / 29/08/2019

Von Clausewitz is the author of the work “On War” (“Vom Kriege“), and until today dominates thinking about war and strategy-formulation. However, Von Clausewitz’s theory and strategic imperatives are based […]

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A system always restores equilibrium (eventually)

Blog / 27/08/2019

A gradient can be understood as a “slope”. The gradient of a graph or series of measurements is the rate at which one set of amounts changes in relation to […]

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Political and social volatility point to an imminent systemic respons

Blog / 26/08/2019

Often, we consider war, an exceptional condition, or “just” the result of a combination of “unlucky” circumstances. However, from a thermodynamic perspective kinetic activity (KA, better known as “war”) is […]

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DISSIPATIVE STRUCTURES EXPLAINED: PART 5, SOME IMPLICATIONS

Blog / 24/06/2019

In this series of five posts, I explain the workings and implications of dissipative structures that regulate kinetic activity (wars) in our System. The series consists of five parts and […]

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DISSIPATIVE STRUCTURES EXPLAINED: PART 4, PATTERNS IN WAR DYNAMICS EXPLAINED

Blog / 18/06/2019

In this series of five posts, I explain the workings and implications of dissipative structures that regulate kinetic activity (wars) in our System. The series consists of five parts and […]

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Near criticality: The worrying state of the international system

Blog / 15/06/2019

The (International) System is in a worrying state, as I explain in this article. My research shows that the System produces war-cycles, with remarkable regularity, and that each war-cycle has […]

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DISSIPATIVE STRUCTURES EXPLAINED: PART 3, MODERN THERMODYNAMICS

Blog / 11/06/2019

In this series of five posts, I explain the workings and implications of dissipative structures that regulate kinetic activity (wars) in our System. The series consists of five parts and […]

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