The US-peace negotiations with the Taliban have – not surprisingly – failed. Yesterday (September 9, 2019) president Trump declared these negotiations “Dead”. For various reasons, these negotiations failed. For one […]
This is how Radicalization works
In this article, I discuss radicalization. The degree of radicalization of a social system and its level/amount of entropy are closely related. As I explain in my research, all natural […]
Mass Shooting Cycles in American Society (1982-2019) and the Route to Chaos
Concept version: 050919 Ingo Piepers, GLOBAL4CAST, Amsterdam, The Netherlands E-mail: ingo@global4cast.org SUMMARY Preliminary findings based on research presented and discussed in this paper, show that during the period 1982-2019, American […]
Our thinking about war and strategy must change
Von Clausewitz is the author of the work “On War” (“Vom Kriege“), and until today dominates thinking about war and strategy-formulation. However, Von Clausewitz’s theory and strategic imperatives are based […]
A system always restores equilibrium (eventually)
A gradient can be understood as a “slope”. The gradient of a graph or series of measurements is the rate at which one set of amounts changes in relation to […]
Political and social volatility point to an imminent systemic respons
Often, we consider war, an exceptional condition, or “just” the result of a combination of “unlucky” circumstances. However, from a thermodynamic perspective kinetic activity (KA, better known as “war”) is […]
DISSIPATIVE STRUCTURES EXPLAINED: PART 5, SOME IMPLICATIONS
In this series of five posts, I explain the workings and implications of dissipative structures that regulate kinetic activity (wars) in our System. The series consists of five parts and […]
DISSIPATIVE STRUCTURES EXPLAINED: PART 4, PATTERNS IN WAR DYNAMICS EXPLAINED
In this series of five posts, I explain the workings and implications of dissipative structures that regulate kinetic activity (wars) in our System. The series consists of five parts and […]
Near criticality: The worrying state of the international system
The (International) System is in a worrying state, as I explain in this article. My research shows that the System produces war-cycles, with remarkable regularity, and that each war-cycle has […]
DISSIPATIVE STRUCTURES EXPLAINED: PART 3, MODERN THERMODYNAMICS
In this series of five posts, I explain the workings and implications of dissipative structures that regulate kinetic activity (wars) in our System. The series consists of five parts and […]
