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The System is a network of events

Blog / 23/09/2019

The System, as I also argue in my research can also be considered a network of events. In case of the System, these events include kinetic activity (KA, war), issues, […]

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The Robust yet Fragile Nature of the International System

Blog / 19/09/2019

Interdependent networks can be robust and fragile at the same time. This is also the case for the (international) System, at this stage of development. Robustness refers to the ability […]

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Strategic considerations, in case of escalation: Russia has a strong position

Blog / 18/09/2019

Not only is the risk of escalation an important consideration in an (eventual) response from the United States and Saudi Arabia against Iran, but also how escalation could play out. […]

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World Wars Not always Start with a “Big Bang”

Blog / 17/09/2019

My research shows that during the period 1480-1945, the System (with Europe at its core) produced four systemic wars as part of four accelerating war-cycles. The fourth and last systemic […]

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American and Saudi retaliation against Iran can cause a dramatic escalation

Blog / 16/09/2019

As I explained in my research and on this blog, currently the (international) System is in the “high-connectivity regime” (HCR), of the first global KA/war-cycle (1945-…). Typically during this stage […]

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(De)colonization: How the Second Law imposed a process of equilib(e)ration

Blog / 12/09/2019

In this article, I discuss some (initial) thoughts on the process of colonization and decolonization. These processes can be better understood when the thermodynamics of the System – especially the […]

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Two deficiencies undermine strategic thinking

Blog / 11/09/2019

Military operations – at various levels and involving a multitude of parties and interests – are now closely intertwined with political activity and processes. Military activity is now politicized. Two […]

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US/Taliban peace negotiations were set up for failure: The US got tripped up by their own tactics

Blog / 10/09/2019

The US-peace negotiations with the Taliban have – not surprisingly – failed. Yesterday (September 9, 2019) president Trump declared these negotiations “Dead”. For various reasons, these negotiations failed. For one […]

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This is how Radicalization works

Blog / 09/09/2019

In this article, I discuss radicalization. The degree of radicalization of a social system and its level/amount of entropy are closely related. As I explain in my research, all natural […]

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Mass Shooting Cycles in American Society (1982-2019) and the Route to Chaos

Blog / 05/09/2019

Concept version: 050919 Ingo Piepers, GLOBAL4CAST, Amsterdam, The Netherlands E-mail: ingo@global4cast.org SUMMARY Preliminary findings based on research presented and discussed in this paper, show that during the period 1982-2019, American […]

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