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escalation

Has WW III just started?

Blog / 09/01/2020

In this article, I address in more detail the question: “Has a next systemic war – the Third World War – just started?”. As I explain in my research and […]

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THE NEXT SYSTEMIC WAR (3): HAS IT JUST STARTED? AND WHAT MUST WE NOW FIGHT FOR?

Blog / 08/01/2020

In a series of articles, I discuss several subjects related to a possible next systemic war, including: How systemic wars “work”, the function of privileges for Great Powers and the […]

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Strategic considerations, in case of escalation: Russia has a strong position

Blog / 18/09/2019

Not only is the risk of escalation an important consideration in an (eventual) response from the United States and Saudi Arabia against Iran, but also how escalation could play out. […]

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World Wars Not always Start with a “Big Bang”

Blog / 17/09/2019

My research shows that during the period 1480-1945, the System (with Europe at its core) produced four systemic wars as part of four accelerating war-cycles. The fourth and last systemic […]

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American and Saudi retaliation against Iran can cause a dramatic escalation

Blog / 16/09/2019

As I explained in my research and on this blog, currently the (international) System is in the “high-connectivity regime” (HCR), of the first global KA/war-cycle (1945-…). Typically during this stage […]

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