In a series of articles, I discuss several subjects related to a possible next systemic war, including: How systemic wars “work”, the function of privileges for Great Powers and the […]
Saudi Arabia
The Robust yet Fragile Nature of the International System
Interdependent networks can be robust and fragile at the same time. This is also the case for the (international) System, at this stage of development. Robustness refers to the ability […]
Strategic considerations, in case of escalation: Russia has a strong position
Not only is the risk of escalation an important consideration in an (eventual) response from the United States and Saudi Arabia against Iran, but also how escalation could play out. […]
American and Saudi retaliation against Iran can cause a dramatic escalation
As I explained in my research and on this blog, currently the (international) System is in the “high-connectivity regime” (HCR), of the first global KA/war-cycle (1945-…). Typically during this stage […]
