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terrorism

A Critical Evaluation of “The New Rules of War, Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder”, PART I

Blog / 01/02/2020

This is the first article in a new series. In the book “The New Rules of War, Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder” – or sometimes with the subtitle: […]

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Bombs meant to expose insecurities

Bombs meant to expose insecurities

Press / 24/01/2020

Financial Times, 2 November 2010 Sir, In his Q&A column “Difficulty of detection is main worry” (FT, November 1) James Blitz writes that “US and British security chiefs say they […]

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US/Taliban peace negotiations were set up for failure: The US got tripped up by their own tactics

Blog / 10/09/2019

The US-peace negotiations with the Taliban have – not surprisingly – failed. Yesterday (September 9, 2019) president Trump declared these negotiations “Dead”. For various reasons, these negotiations failed. For one […]

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Mass Shooting Cycles in American Society (1982-2019) and the Route to Chaos

Blog / 05/09/2019

Concept version: 050919 Ingo Piepers, GLOBAL4CAST, Amsterdam, The Netherlands E-mail: ingo@global4cast.org SUMMARY Preliminary findings based on research presented and discussed in this paper, show that during the period 1982-2019, American […]

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Near criticality: The worrying state of the international system

Blog / 15/06/2019

The (International) System is in a worrying state, as I explain in this article. My research shows that the System produces war-cycles, with remarkable regularity, and that each war-cycle has […]

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False Assumptions: Strategy is obsolete on delivery

Blog / 22/05/2019

Source featured image: MISSILE DEFENSE PROJECT, “MISSILES OF RUSSIA,” MISSILE THREAT, CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES, JUNE 14, 2018. Typically, during high-connectivity regimes (HCR’s) of KA/war-cycles – when tensions […]

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KA/war-cycles and the fundamental differences between non-systemic and systemic KA/wars

Blog / 03/05/2019

KA stands for “kinetic activity” of the System, and is equivalent with war. Analysis of war data shows that during the transient period (1480-1945), the System produced four accelerating KA/war-cycles, […]

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Eco-terrorism is a matter of time

Blog / 12/04/2019

Eco-terrorism only seems a matter of time. There is always a tendency in systems – including in social systems – to “eradicate” – neutralize – gradients, including entropy-gradients. As discussed […]

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Interacting self-fulfilling prophecies: Buildup of tensions

Blog / 11/04/2019

In case of the (State-)System, self-fulfilling prophecies of various ‘actors’ (e.g. societies and decisionmakers of states) – their mutual expectations – interact and shape each other; it is a process […]

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Attack Tolerance of Networks

Blog / 11/04/2019

Networks differ in their attack and error tolerance. Scale-free networks have a typical ‘error and attack tolerance’ (1), which is related to the distribution of nodes with a certain degree […]

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