In the end stage of a war-cycle, tensions accumulate, issues cannot be resolved, and instead reinforce each other. These dynamics drive the System into a critical state. Recent revelations in […]
United States
The next Systemic War (1): How do systemic wars work?
In a series of articles, I discuss several subjects related to a next systemic war, including: How systemic wars “work”, the function of privileges for Great Powers and the System, […]
Strategic considerations, in case of escalation: Russia has a strong position
Not only is the risk of escalation an important consideration in an (eventual) response from the United States and Saudi Arabia against Iran, but also how escalation could play out. […]
US/Taliban peace negotiations were set up for failure: The US got tripped up by their own tactics
The US-peace negotiations with the Taliban have – not surprisingly – failed. Yesterday (September 9, 2019) president Trump declared these negotiations “Dead”. For various reasons, these negotiations failed. For one […]
This is how Radicalization works
In this article, I discuss radicalization. The degree of radicalization of a social system and its level/amount of entropy are closely related. As I explain in my research, all natural […]
Mass Shooting Cycles in American Society (1982-2019) and the Route to Chaos
Concept version: 050919 Ingo Piepers, GLOBAL4CAST, Amsterdam, The Netherlands E-mail: ingo@global4cast.org SUMMARY Preliminary findings based on research presented and discussed in this paper, show that during the period 1982-2019, American […]
Near criticality: The worrying state of the international system
The (International) System is in a worrying state, as I explain in this article. My research shows that the System produces war-cycles, with remarkable regularity, and that each war-cycle has […]
False Assumptions: Strategy is obsolete on delivery
Source featured image: MISSILE DEFENSE PROJECT, “MISSILES OF RUSSIA,” MISSILE THREAT, CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES, JUNE 14, 2018. Typically, during high-connectivity regimes (HCR’s) of KA/war-cycles – when tensions […]
