NRC Handelsblad, 16 juli 2019 In de Straat van Hormuz is het recht op vrije doorvaart en de maritieme veiligheid in het geding (Het langzame sterven van een internationaal akkoord, […]
US
What the bacterium E. coli understands, but President Trump doesn’t
All natural processes – including all human interactions and exchanges – produce entropy as a byproduct. Entropy manifests itself as heat and waste. The amount of entropy in a system […]
What about North Korea?
Above figure: Missile Defense Project, “North Korean Missile Launches & Nuclear Tests: 1984-Present,” Missile Threat, Center for Strategic and International Studies, April 20, 2017, last modified December 3, 2019, https://missilethreat.csis.org/north-korea-missile-launches-1984-present/. […]
Interview: “The Third World War can start any moment, and I have predicted it for years”.
Ingo Piepers: “The build-up of tension in society with war as an outlet is simply a physical process.” Photo: Manon van der Zwaal. Interview by Wil Thijssen with Ingo Piepers, […]
Has WW III just started?
In this article, I address in more detail the question: “Has a next systemic war – the Third World War – just started?”. As I explain in my research and […]
The Robust yet Fragile Nature of the International System
Interdependent networks can be robust and fragile at the same time. This is also the case for the (international) System, at this stage of development. Robustness refers to the ability […]
World Wars Not always Start with a “Big Bang”
My research shows that during the period 1480-1945, the System (with Europe at its core) produced four systemic wars as part of four accelerating war-cycles. The fourth and last systemic […]
American and Saudi retaliation against Iran can cause a dramatic escalation
As I explained in my research and on this blog, currently the (international) System is in the “high-connectivity regime” (HCR), of the first global KA/war-cycle (1945-…). Typically during this stage […]
